Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 197.244821 228.013600 262.990366 305.898319 357.393867 417.551597 493.649946
2025-09-28 155.293906 194.194767 242.810167 308.808101 397.273307 513.500187 680.690059
2025-10-05 137.978917 182.475380 242.022274 329.180707 456.322538 639.604700 932.552817
2025-10-12 124.957909 172.744677 240.295850 345.451498 510.106273 767.167044 1218.281575
2025-10-19 110.534244 158.217353 228.612036 343.774062 534.907621 853.982754 1460.968536
2025-10-26 101.956471 150.699452 225.620667 354.068226 579.501310 981.335976 1810.215902
2025-11-02 93.875715 142.675994 220.377551 359.242151 615.532445 1100.689756 2180.562857
2025-11-09 87.302193 136.103794 216.366392 365.460545 654.013005 1232.726551 2620.887780
2025-11-16 80.540040 128.361167 209.264928 364.760861 678.748695 1342.396896 3048.792665
2025-11-23 74.602742 121.315739 202.420088 363.305081 701.369580 1452.518881 3518.880949
2025-11-30 70.138588 116.319082 198.563958 366.898361 735.016060 1595.590698 4135.076386
2025-12-07 63.879852 107.510413 186.715443 352.725461 727.041905 1637.366868 4477.227177
2025-12-14 59.419237 102.004354 181.338150 353.094155 757.053930 1795.239400 5301.302979
2025-12-21 55.672515 97.497020 177.480313 356.471701 796.232094 1994.017730 6400.334958
2025-12-28 54.436747 97.576719 182.649354 380.659450 893.388643 2393.040889 8539.219429
2026-01-04 52.768479 96.600166 185.490077 400.014850 983.489161 2810.158727 11138.052702
2026-01-11 49.419095 91.895856 179.857212 398.017964 1014.074373 3047.439546 13142.237572
2026-01-18 47.523878 89.957068 179.949263 410.277611 1089.772020 3477.511082 16629.313978
2026-01-25 45.334734 87.175419 177.814582 416.443949 1148.980823 3876.702862 20465.751392
2026-02-01 43.414359 84.771856 176.242297 423.859057 1214.730057 4337.982289 25405.027300
2026-02-08 41.130864 81.363018 171.929434 423.024505 1253.057085 4705.232388 30284.985842
2026-02-15 38.990474 78.077204 167.544128 421.288293 1288.232897 5080.642923 35955.975221
2026-02-22 37.363080 75.795338 165.340813 425.574186 1347.090458 5608.633243 44212.773339